Science Archives - IH Globe https://ihglobe.com/category/science/ The Official Magazine of International House College, Melbourne Mon, 23 Jul 2018 06:05:55 +0000 en-AU hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.3.1 https://ihglobe.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/cropped-final-lopgo-32x32.png Science Archives - IH Globe https://ihglobe.com/category/science/ 32 32 BoW – The Rainbow Lorikeet https://ihglobe.com/science/bow-rainbow-lorikeet/ Mon, 23 Jul 2018 06:04:09 +0000 https://ihglobe.com/?p=1521 Bird of the Week – The Rainbow Lorikeet Latin Name: Trichoglossus haematodus Some Stats: – One screechy birb – Lives in a crazy big...

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Bird of the Week – The Rainbow Lorikeet

Latin Name: Trichoglossus haematodus
Some Stats:
– One screechy birb
– Lives in a crazy big flock
– Eats both native and non-native fruits and
berries, along with nectar!
You can see this bird heaps around Parkville,
especially on the walk to Uni and in the park.

Birding: A Handy Guide
Birding, or recreational bird watching, is a
great way to learn more about the wildlife
around IH and Australia – it’s also super fun.

Tips for Birding
– Don’t talk loudly
– Slow movements
– Just resign yourself to the fact that you will
very rarely get a good photo of a bird cause
they’re fast little buggers.
– Have fun : )))))))))

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From Genes to Memes https://ihglobe.com/science/from-genes-to-memes/ Sun, 19 Mar 2017 12:00:54 +0000 https://ihglobe.com/?p=1356 On the 26th of March 1941, a man was born who would change the face of the internet. He would go on to create...

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On the 26th of March 1941, a man was born who would change the face of the internet. He would go on to create a concept so novel that no person would never look at their newsfeed the same way again. He would go on to invent the meme.

Well at least he sort of would. Clinton Richard Dawkins, an Evolutionary Biologist, released a book in 1976 called “The Selfish Gene.” Filled with all sorts of science-y goodness, this publication explored, tweaked, and extended Charles Darwin’s Theory of Evolution. Dawkins suggested that evolution should be viewed from the perspective of genetic based natural selection, rather than from Darwin’s perspective of organism based natural selection.*

*DISCLAIMER

Although organism based natural selection does take into account genetic makeup, I am too stupid to understand the intimate differences between the two theories. Just trust me when I say that they are different. If anyone reading this is an expert in evolutionary biology, please feel free to contact me and explain the two differing theories.

 

So how did our old friend Clinton go from Evolutionary Biology to cashing people outside? Well actually he didn’t. How bow dah? Dawkins can be attributed with the creation of the actual word “meme.” Derived from the Ancient Greek word mimeme (to imitate), he defined his new term as “a unit of cultural transmission or change.”

Within his book, Dawkins drew an analogy which likened his view of evolution to the evolution of certain aspects of popular culture (for example, the way in which fashion trends evolve and change). Where natural evolution occurred through the transmission of genes, Dawkins suggested that cultural evolution occurred through the transmission of memes.

Take for example, any trend in popular culture. Somebody starts a trend. An observer views the trend. The trend is then imitated or refined by the observer. This process repeats indefinitely until the trend either disappears completely, or is reshaped into a new trend altogether.

It is clear in this example that the broader outcome is always a cultural change of some form. Hence, we can say that this change has come about due to a “meme” being continuously transferred and altered between people. The “meme” is in essence the thing that changes.

Despite what seems to be a significant change in subject matter from Dawkins’ original intent, the concept of the meme that you and I know and love still remains loyal to its roots. Today’s meme culture is changing all the time; any budding memester can tell you that. If you want proof, just scroll through your newsfeed and take the time to appreciate all the subtle variations on the same meme. It is in this way that new memes (and trends) are inevitably and eventually created.

But hold up. If Clinton Dawkins’ theory itself has changed in subject matter from it’s original intent, then doesn’t that make him the greatest meme of all time?**

**Yes. Illu-meme-nati confirmed.

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Briskly on Group Theory https://ihglobe.com/science/briskly-on-group-theory/ Mon, 17 Aug 2015 06:51:03 +0000 https://ihglobe.com/?p=1002 This is a ‘brisk’ mathematical introduction to Group Theory. In maths, we define things by listing a bunch of rules and anything that satisfies all these...

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This is a ‘brisk’ mathematical introduction to Group Theory. In maths, we define things by listing a bunch of rules and anything that satisfies all these rules, fits the definition. We call these rules axioms. This article is a meander towards understanding some of the axioms that define a mathematical group. One of the goals of mathematics is to take things that are familiar to us and generalise them ? you might notice that a lot of the axioms defined are really similar to the familiar rules of addition and multiplication for numbers.

The topic of Geometric group theory was brought up by our head of college at our most recent formal dinner, it being the topic of the master’s thesis of one the tutors in this house( Tian Sang, congratulations!). Personally, I always have a warm smile( internally, at least) when Deborah mentions mathematical topics. I’d like to give Group Theory more exposure, with what little knowledge I have of this topic that must be so inspiring to its artisans.

Consider the concept of a set. An example of a set is as follows:

Math1

A mathematician would call (†) ‘The set A, whose elements are 1,2,3,4 and 5’. So a set starts off with two key concepts: The container and its contents, the elements of the set. Elements can include numbers, matrices, functions and even other sets, but the main point is that elements are just ‘things’ that fill the set. Clearly, since 0 is a number, it would be interesting to point out that the following are not the same: { } ≠{0}

To some it is obvious, but to others it may be odd, as zero is often associated with ‘nothing’. It comes in the distinguishing fact that 0 is indeed a number and that in the mathematics of the theory of sets, nothing is not the same as the presence of the element zero, because zero is a something that has a precise meaning( I mean to say that it is an element to go in sets, just like any other).

The next step is to consider a binary operation. Everyone is familiar with the concept of a binary operation, because two such things are ubiquitous, addition and multiplication. Binary operations are rules which take two elements( hence binary) from a set and associate that pair with one element from that set. We then say that the binary operation is acting on the set. For example, the expression

1+2=3

uses the binary operation + to assign to the pair of numbers (1,2) the number 3

It turns out that there are many more examples of binary relations, other than multiplication and addition. Thus, let * denote a general binary which acts on a set. With this, we now have access to the following to knowing what a group is.

Suppose we have some set, call it V, and that we have a binary operation, *, which acts on that set. If we have two such things, let me denote (V,*) “the set V which has associated with it a binary operation * “.

(V,*) is a group if the following axioms are satisfied:

 

Math2

And that is it. A group, in the mathematical sense, thus. If anyone ever asks you if you know any group theory, then proudly say yes!

Some examples

Math3

Ever so hopefully, articles on mathematics to be continued.

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National Science Week https://ihglobe.com/science/national-science-week/ Mon, 17 Aug 2015 05:06:30 +0000 https://ihglobe.com/?p=993 For everyone studying anything to do with technology, computing, Biology, Pharmacy, engineering or Psychology, this week is indeed your week to shine! For those who have not...

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For everyone studying anything to do with technology, computing, Biology, Pharmacy, engineering or Psychology, this week is indeed your week to shine! For those who have not yet guessed what the above areas have in common, they are all Sciences, which leads to the conclusion that this week must indeed be National Science Week!

National Science Week this year is from the 15th to the 23rd of August and is Australia’s way of celebrating not only our achievements in science in technology, but the exciting future that we are being brought closer and closer to every year. Designed not only for those studying Science, but for any Science enthusiasts (even those who deny they are interested in Science yet still read every IFL Science article on Facebook), this week tries to encourage young people to take an interest in Science and pursue careers in the area.

Especially in the year 2015, Science and technology are becoming important parts of our everyday lives. Everywhere you look people are texting on their phones, listening to their iPods or gaming on their computers. When you are sick you go to the Pharmacist to get cold and flu tablets and to get there you travel on Melbourne made trams. Science has lead to the creation of the Cochlear Implant, allowed geneticists to sequence the human genome and understand the movements of the planets in our solar systems. Science is crucial to our lives and our continually developing society. And yet the Australian Government continues to cut funding to science and research agencies, such as CSIRO and the Co-operative Research Centre (CRC) and in its most recent budget, has cut $262.5 million to research grants for universities. This begs the question the value our Government is placing on Science and Technology.
Keep an eye out for the many activities the University of Melbourne are hosting for Science week. And remember, Science is our future!

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Noodle Your Way Into the Light https://ihglobe.com/science/454/ Mon, 13 Oct 2014 07:56:14 +0000 https://ihglobe.com/?p=454  Love instant noodles? Of course you do, who doesn’t, right? Convenient, delicious and so easy to make that an “Instant Noodles for Dummies” book...

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2 minute noodle article Photo

 Love instant noodles? Of course you do, who doesn’t, right? Convenient, delicious and so easy to make that an “Instant Noodles for Dummies” book doesn’t exist. Perfection in a packet. Well, everyone, it’s time to shatter your fantasy. I’m proud to present: 5 reasons why you’ll love this article (and me by default) – Why Instant Noodles will be the death of you.

  1. Ever wondered why instant noodles don’t stick together? Why they’re always so wonderfully slippery and slimy and covered in wax? That’s right, guys. The secret ingredient is a super thin coating of wax. Sounds bad? It’ll sound even worse when you realize that it will take a minimum of 4 to 5 days for your body to dispel the unnatural substance. Sound worse yet? Good.
  2.  Processed noodles also take much longer for our digestive systems to break down, leaving the stomach working overtime and struggling for hours. Preservatives and other chemical ingredients to enhance the flavor of noodles are all possible culprits.
  3. According to research, a positive correlation has been discovered between metabolic syndrome and instant noodle consumption. In women, those who ate instant noodles at least twice a week had a higher chance of metabolic syndrome even when the results were adjusted for physical fitness, individual diet, etc… This could very well be attributed to the high fat and sodium concentrations in processed foods.
  4. Speaking of sodium concentrations, a single packet of noodles contains an average of 830 mg. This is almost half the recommended daily allowance for sodium consumption in adults. This might not sound like anything serious, until I mention that excessive sodium intake has been linked to conditions such as heart failure, kidney problems and high blood pressure. Sound grave yet? It should.
  5. Finally, instant noodles don’t taste so good because they’re heaven-sent. Though that would be very convenient indeed. They contain lots and lots of chemicals that even I, as an aspiring chemical engineer, can’t comprehend. In particular, substances that increase the shelf-life of processed products are especially harmful. For instance, propylene glycol (an anti-freeze ingredient popular in packet noodles) can accumulate in the heart, liver and kidneys leading to abnormalities and damage. It also has the potential to weaken your immune system. Now, guys, next time you’re feeling too lazy to cook or if CaterCare is serving terrible food again, think twice before turning to your box of instant noodles!

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How Pharmaceuticals Work https://ihglobe.com/science/pharmaceuticals-work/ Wed, 13 Nov 2013 17:24:47 +0000 https://ihglobe.com/?p=93 Based on a talk. Original article can be found here.   It always amazes me how little people know about the pharmaceutical industry. You’d...

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Based on a talk. Original article can be found here.

 

It always amazes me how little people know about the pharmaceutical industry. You’d be forgiven for thinking it was just consumers but even people in the industry don’t really know how it works. People like doctors or pharmacists.

Medicine is one of these peculiar industries which affect everyone and has so many colossal moving parts that its hard to grasp.

Most people hate the pharmaceuticals industry but I don’t think they really know why. They hear large amounts of money being spent and they get angry without understanding where the money goes or why.

So first we’re going to break down what exactly the moving parts are. It’s important to understand the scale involved. There are very few industries that are so compliance and regulation intensive, have such large product time horizons, require as much capital or have as large an addressable market than pharma. The market is everyone.

In rough numbers it takes 12-15 years to commercialize a product, each product costs nearly 1.2 billion dollars to create and the creation of products is largely a luck-based adventure into the subatomic workings of people, nature and the universe.

So why does a drug take 12 years to get to market? It’s easier to break it down first into what is a drug? A drug is just a new molecule or compound put into a form that is easy to take. The molecule then interacts with the body in such a way that it fixes your illness. There are two types of drugs; Small Molecule which make up most pharmaceutical products and Large Molecule or Biosimilars which are a new technology.

With Small Molecule, the drug contains microscopic amounts of a synthesized new molecule or compound which then binds to cells near the disease. This then activates or inhibits cell receptors to help the body fight off the disease. Because the compound is synthetic the body rejects the compound and it passes through after curing the disease. This is the standard for medicines.

With Biosimilars, the drug contains living organisms or cells. The living organism then become part of the person who takes the drug. Because the drug contains living matter it is much harder to manufacture and transport but is cheaper overall to make because you don’t have to buy chemicals since you can artificially create and replicate organic matter. A good way to think about how Biosimilars work is by thinking about how vaccines work.

The key part is the new molecule. The molecule first has to be discovered. That is more difficult then it sounds. Discovery is not really the right word because frequently it is at your fingertips the entire time because all molecules are a function of how well we understand the world.

Just 50 years ago it wasn’t well understood that the immune system fights infection and one way to beat diseases is to boost it. So it is like putting the universe under a microscope to better understand how everything works. You first have to know how something is made before you can go about fixing it when it breaks.

New molecules can come from anywhere. One of the active ingredients in Aspirin is Salicylic acid which comes from the bark of Willow Trees. One drug is based on a synthesized molecule from the regenerative properties of the stomach lining of a platypus. Or new compounds which are just a bunch of other compounds and molecules mixed together in different amounts. Most of these new molecules and new compounds come from research and is why funding research is so important.

How many new molecules or compounds are discovered per year? Around 6,000 completely new chemical substances for each new drug. So only 1 in every 6,000 new compounds makes it to market. But that’s because not every new compound has healing properties, only some of them.

This funding frequently comes under criticism since there is no good heuristic for their results like the number of discoveries versus the amount of money that goes into R&D. It’s not like you put X amount of money in and you get 3X worth of discoveries. Some very significant discoveries come from small labs and a lot of very well funded institutions don’t find anything at all.

This is because research is sometimes called just a series of very fortunate accidents. It might take a scientist a decade to have the knowledge and expertise to recognise an accident as a genuine discovery. Or it might take decades of work to create the circumstances for a discovery to be made.

Very famous examples include Viagra which was originally intended to reduce blood pressure before other uses for it were observed. Pennicilin came from biologist Alexander Fleming watching a sandwhich become mouldy after he accidentally left it overnight in a laboratory. A biologist drinking red wine in a lab accidentally spills it into a petri dish leading to the discovery of Resveratrol. Or Jonas Salk who worked on a cure for polio for nearly a decade before discovering the Salk Polio Vaccine.

Now the more money that goes into research, the more frequent these discoveries happen. Roughly 5 billion dollars is spent on research for every new drug successfully commercialized and this level of sustained capital is required to create more cures.

So a good way to think about the lifecycle of the industry is a molecule is first discovered by a scientist. The scientist might work at a university or a private laboratory funding the research. That molecule is then extracted and synthesized for efficacy at treating a disease in a lab. A bit like a chef mixing ingredients until the right recipe is made.

Once the recipe is right, a New Molecular Entity or NME and Investigational New Drug Application or IND is filed with the Food and Drug Administration or FDA. It’s a bit like saying we think we might have discovered something important but need to test further. The FDA are responsible for the approval of new health products onto the market. Their job is to make sure unstable compounds and potentially harmful or unsafe drugs don’t reach the consumer.

Every part of the world has their own version of the FDA. In Australia, it’s the Therapeutic Goods Administration or TGA. In Europe it is the Europeans Medicines Agency or EMA. And a lot of these have cross approval. If something is approved by the FDA, it’ll be approved faster by the TGA and EMA.

Just to file an IND is over a million dollars which is why small pharmaceuticals aren’t able to create new drugs effectively. If the IND is approved, the new drug goes into clinical trials. There are 4 phases to clinical trials.

Phase 1 or preclinical trials is animal testing such as rats, monkeys, dogs or any animal with similar pharmacokinetics to humans. Pharmacokinetics is just a fancy word which means how they absorb and react to a drug. If there are no negative effects and works as intended it goes to phase 2.

Phase 2 clinical trials is testing in tens or hundreds of healthy volunteers to establish a baseline. And in tens or hundreds of actual patients or the people for whom the drug is designed for to see if it actually works. If there are no negative effects and it passes phase 2, it goes on to phase 3. If a drug is going to fail, it should fail in phase 2 because phase 3 is when it becomes really expensive. 90% of the cost of clinical trials occur in phase 3.

Phase 3 clinical trials has to be done with nearly 2000 patients exhibiting the disease. Except for cancer or heart drugs which have to go through phase 3 studies with nearly 10,000 patients. Finding these patients and administering the drugs is very time-consuming and very expensive, measuring in the hundreds of millions of dollars and can take years to complete.

The results for this is compiled and a New Drug Application or NDA is filed. This costs another few million dollars and is given to the FDA. They then decide whether the drug is safe enough and works well enough for regular consumers. If it is approved, a patent is filed and it starts being manufactured for general use.

A lot of pharmaceuticals are also manufacturers but a lot are just labs and they have to contract the making of drugs to other companies that are manufacturing only. The manufacturing happens in a factory that has to have high standards of quality control and is regulated by the World Health Organisation or WHO.

A good way to think about the manufacturers is kind of like a restaurant. These manufacturers are given a recipe by the drug company then they buy the chemical ingredients from chemical companies like Citigroup or Exxon or DOW Chemicals and then mix it in the right quantities to create the drug.

The drug then gets packaged, branded and shipped around the world. The drug is sold to wholesalers and distributors. Those wholesalers and distributors increase the cost to make a profit then sells them in bulk to pharmacies and retailers.

Each of those pharmacies and retailers increases the cost further to make a profit and sells it to the consumer. Usually this step is when the highest cost increase happens because retailers can charge whatever they want. This is how you can buy a drug for $15 in one place and $115 just down the road.

Every step in this process usually requires some form of new licensing from manufacturing licences to import licences to pharmaceutical licences to pharmacy licences. And the consumer is not allowed to purchase the drug unless a doctor writes a prescription to. They then run post-clinical trials to see the long-term effect of the drug in the public and is sometimes called phase 4.

The failure rate of this sustained capital is very high. Only 20 of every 6,000 new compounds makes it to clinical trials and only 1 in every 20 drugs that make it to clinical trials are eventually approved. In any one year, the FDA approves about 20 new drugs with 39 being approved in 2012. The most approved in a single year since 1996 which had 53 approvals. The lowest was 17 approved in 2006.

So as a conservative rule of thumb, the entire pharmaceutical industry is geared to commercialize only 20 drugs each year. And the results people see from these drugs are about 12 years worth of compounding research, studies and development. That’s why any major changes to the industry, the effect isn’t seen until a decade later and is why changing the price of drugs is actually very difficult to do.

These 20 new drugs have to recoup the entire capital expenditure for the entire industry. This is when the clock starts. Because a company only holds a patent on a drug for 20 years. If they spent 1.2 billion dollars to bring it to market, they have to earn that back before the patent runs out.

But not just the cost of the drug itself but on all R&D costs involved. Remember only 1 in 20 drugs make it through clinical trials? And only 20 of every 6,000 new compounds even gets there in the first place?

That one drug has to recoup the cost of all 19 of the failed ones and all of the research that went into all 6,000 new compounds that never made it to clinical trials. This number is very large and estimated to be around 4 billion dollars. That’s a lot of $19 boxes of Lipitor.

But that’s just to recoup your costs, right? You’re a company and you also have to make a profit if you want to stay in business. That profit has to be very large if you’re going to invest 4 billion dollars just to have the opportunity to make a profit. So when people complain about the high cost of drugs, they don’t see the costs involved to get there.

But that’s just the cost of creating the drug. Next comes the rollout of it. This is also very expensive and is frequently overlooked when people talk about drug commercialization. Nobody actually buys their drugs from a drug company, they buy it from pharmacies. The drug has to be delivered to every pharmacy in the country. If you are approved by the FDA, TGA and EMA which most popular drugs are, that means delivering the drug to every pharmacy in all of Europe, Latin America, Australia and the United States. This is a logistics nightmare.

But a sick person can’t just walk into a pharmacy and buy a drug, they need a prescription first. The only people who can write prescriptions are doctors. If this is a new drug, most doctors don’t know about it, what it does or what it cures – so how could they prescribe it? So the next step is educating doctors. That was the original purpose of medical journals. To keep doctors up to date on the latest drugs, diseases and medical practice.

But there’s a small flaw here. It’s based on the assumption that all doctors are up to date on new technologies. This most certainly is not the case. And that all doctors will immediately switch to prescribing this new drug, bearing in mind they already have a way of treating whatever disease this new drug cures. So you first have to convince the doctor that your drug is a better way of doing it.

Doctors by virtue of their title are usually very smart. Try explaining to a smart person to change what they’ve always done for years. Multiply that by every doctor on 4 continents and you see the extent of the problem. If you don’t get doctors to prescribe the drug, then it won’t make sales. And you have to do all of this soon because your patent is expiring in 20 years. It’s why frequently pharmaceuticals start educating doctors on a new drug while it is still in clinical trials, expecting it to take years before it reaches the market.

It also means certain types of diseases aren’t big enough for a drug to be manufactured to cure them. A lot of diseases actually have cures but the addressable market for them is not large enough to make them commercially tenable. The cost is still the same regardless of whether a drug treats cholesterol or gum disease. But a lot more people have high cholesterol than have gum disease.

So there is a deadpool of diseases that have cures but effect so few people that there is no profitable way to bring their cures to market. Such as types of arthritis or types of HIV. Not enough people suffer from the disease to buy the drug so the drug won’t get made.

Figuring out how to square that circle would be one of the most beneficial things for humanity. Perhaps by incentivising smaller pharmaceutical companies to actively go after niche diseases. To score lots of base hits instead of just going for home runs.

A lot of people wonder why pharmaceutical companies spend so much money on lobbying, marketing and keeping physicians on retainer. These activities are largely why they are considered evil. But if you looked at it as an industry snapshot or proportion of total expenses then it is not really that much anyway.

When people complain that drug companies spend more on marketing than on R&D is kind of a misnomer. This isn’t actually a bad thing because the point of marketing is to bring in more revenue which then funds more R&D. The pie is then larger.

What people don’t realise is this is actually a result of desperation. When the patent expires on one of your flagship products, you can’t just churn out a new product quickly. And when that product represents billions of dollars of revenue, you have to resort to other ways of making money to make up for the lost margins. It’s not out of greed, it’s out of desperation. If you don’t, you’ll go out of business.

One of these is to get doctors to prescribe certain kinds of drugs so you make more sales. Another is to get people to want to buy certain kinds of drugs which gets more sales. The third is to try and change the rules by lobbying.

This is very telling. When a pharmaceutical company realises it can increase its margins more by lobbying than it can by spending money on R&D is indicative of another type of problem. 1) that the cost of drug commercialization has gotten too high to be viable and 2) that the government is corrupt and easily bullied.

I don’t know how to fix number 2 but number 1 seems reasonable. A more important question is how would you reduce the cost of commercializing a drug? This is when you come to an interesting catch 22.

It is largely because of the approval process that makes drugs so expensive to produce and their cost increasing. In 1975, the cost of research and development on a drug was 100 million in todays dollars and medicines were relatively inexpensive. Today it is 1.2 billion dollars and the price of medicine has gone up proportionally.

I wasn’t sure what specifically about the approval process accounts for the 10X increase in costs, so I asked Derek Lowe, the popular chemist and blogger for his thoughts. He said:

“I think it’s a combination of factors. The FDA wants better statistics, so the number of patients for any trial goes up 1X. Then the amount of documentation and data collection goes up 2X. We’re going after harder diseases, so that sends up the number of patients, too, by a factor of 3X. This lengthens the timeline of the trials by 4X. Keep in mind that we’re also trying to do a better job with patient selection, which is supposed to increase the chances of the trial working, but that’s pretty much canceled out by the difficulties of the disease, and that adds a further paperwork/delay expense of 5X. And by the time you multiply all those X factors together, costs have gone up by a really nasty amount.”

The very people who approve new drugs are the FDA who are government run and susceptible to lobbying. They’re like the gatekeepers to the entire industry. Some people argue that the process of dealing with an approval body like the FDA is so capital intensive and bureaucracy prone that it’s not worth the effort.

If a drug is rejected by the FDA, the company behind it is effectively dead, because they will have spent hundreds of millions of dollars developing a product with no way to bring it to market. In 2010, an anti-obesity drug Lorquess by Arena Pharmaceuticals was rejected at phase 3 clinical trials. That same day their stock price dropped over 80%. This is more common than people think. About 42% of drugs that make it to phase 3 clinical studies fail representing billions of dollars of wasted investment.

Currently there is no way for a pharmaceutical to test a drug with large numbers of people without going into phase 3 clinical studies which requires hundreds of millions of dollars of investment. If after these studies, the drug is rejected then that cost is largely wasted. So the way to fix this is for regulators to reduce the cost of phase 3 clinical trials.

And for more flexibility in the approval process. Most diseases effect the body in similar ways. A lot of drugs that fail phase 2 studies might be effective against other similar diseases but are never trialed. This was the case in the discovery of Viagra which was initially used to treat blood pressure, or Pseudoephedrine which was initially used for sleep related disorders. Just because a drug fails to treat the intended disease doesn’t mean the drug doesn’t work.

But because of a lack of flexibility in the way clinical trials are designed means drugs that fail phase 2 studies are not able to be used to trial efficacy against other illnesses without restarting clinical trials from the beginning. But these drugs have already passed phase 1 studies. So a lot of probable cures are sitting in labs unused. A lot of babies are being thrown out with the bathwater.

These two changes alone would meaningfully impact the entire industry.

The reason for this regulation is ironically, to protect the consumer. If it weren’t so, drugs would experience a Moores Law-esque reduction down the cost curve. So if there was less regulation, drugs would be universally cheaper and there would be more and better drugs on the market since they would be cheaper to discover and make.

One theory says if you reduced the amount of compliance you’d have unstable compounds on the market. The other theory says you already have unstable compounds on the market so it isn’t working. There are even true horror stories of drugs approved that were catastrophically harmful.

It goes so far as to say the level of compliance hinders innovation because it prices them out. When the cost to commercialize a new drug is measured in billions, only already established and very large pharmaceutical companies like Lupin, Eli Lilly, Pfizer, Merck, Roche’s, Bristol-Myers Squibb and GlaxoSmithKline; can even participate in the drug creation process and only create drugs for widespread illnesses.

You’d have many more drugs with a higher efficacy since small pharmaceutical companies can then participate in R&D for niche diseases with smaller markets. Since they won’t need to rely on smash-hit drugs to succeed and disruption usually happens from the bottom anyway. A lot of cured diseases would then have medicines.

When you’re only trying to create medicines that address widespread diseases it means the amount of money that goes into research gets skewed. Why would you spend money researching an illness that effects 200,000 people when there are diseases that effect millions? And so a lot of low hanging fruit medical breakthroughs don’t happen as a result. Nobody sees the effect of this because how do you measure the impact of a disease that could have been cured but wasn’t?

But in an abstract way these are actually the good guys. For every big pharmaceutical that invests billions into R&D, there are hundreds of smaller predatorial pharmaceutical companies waiting for a patent to expire before flooding the market with their own branded medicines, who don’t participate in any R&D whatsoever.

This is what happens when a drug goes generic and why it becomes so much cheaper. These hundreds of smaller factories all start making versions of the same drug because the patent protection has lapsed and that competition brings down the price since they can charge less because they don’t have to recover any R&D expenditure.

These are usually the same factories who started as outsourcing before realising they could increase their profits by moving into manufacturing their own branded generics on expired patents.

It’s a bit like that scene in I Am Legend when Will Smith wakes up after the booby trap and the vicious dogs are waiting to attack. The only thing stopping the dogs from attacking is a beam of sunlight because they’ll burn if the sun touches them. As the sun is setting, the dogs become more and more anxious. When the sun finally goes down and the sunlight disappears the dogs attack tearing Will Smith to shreds. The sunlight represents a patent expiring. When the patent for Lipitor expired it wiped out 12 billion dollars from Pfizer’s bottom line because of generic substitutes.

What sometimes happens to stop this is when a patent is expiring and the company hasn’t found a dramatically new drug, they just make a small change to one of the drugs they already have and try to file a new patent. This is called “Evergreening” and it stops a drug from going generic but also keeps the price high which is why no one likes it when a company does it.

Could you imagine spending 20 years of your life building the company around a medicine and then it disappears and you have to start over? You’ve created culture and knowledge around this product watching it grow up and then you have to start from scratch. All your expertise is in one specific field and it’s very hard to suddenly transition into a new one.

It’s a strange industry in that way. Usually when a company creates a new product they’re allowed to earn money on it forever and improve on the product whenever they want. How long has Coca-Cola been around for? Or Mars Bars? But not in the drug world. A new product only has 20 years and if any improvements are made, it’s called a “me too” drug and slammed by critics.

Reinventing oneself is more difficult than it is made out to be. If you’re a company like Pfizer who have created Lipitor which in many ways is the perfect cholesterol reducing drug. Or GlaxoSmithKline who have created Ventolin which in many ways is the perfect asthma relief drug. The company becomes known for reducing cholesterol or relieving asthma. But it is difficult to medically improve a drug as effective as that.

It’s almost comical, the company which is known for reducing cholesterol or relieving asthma have lost the patent on the drug which does precisely that. It’s why often a company will follow up a drug with another one that does the same thing because the company is known for treating a particular illness.

When the patent expired for Lipitor or Ventolin which represents billions of dollars in revenue that would disappear. It’s reasonable to think a followup drug will earn a similar amount. Because the company knows what kind of marketing works for this kind of disease because they’ve been doing it for 20 years.

But this is actually a bad thing. Because it provides incentive to invest in only incremental improvements which means the opportunity cost is research into new areas, or potentially entirely new drugs treating entirely different diseases won’t happen. But this is an effect of having to hit performance or sales targets to have enough money to even be able to afford to commercialize new drugs in the first place. If the cost of commercialization went down, they wouldn’t need to do this.

Because it’s so expensive, something interesting you’ll notice is that funding sources are slim in the life sciences world. If you were a venture capitalist why would you put money into a company that will take 10 years to go to market whereas you could put money into the next cool tech web app and get a return much sooner. This is why public capital sources are so important to pharmaceuticals and why so many end up going public.

Whenever this much money is involved, the talent is also proportional. Talent in the pharmaceutical industry is off the charts. It takes hundreds or thousands of brilliant individuals to make a dent. Some of the smartest most brilliant people you will have never heard of. There’s nothing more noble than for someone with talent to apply it in a field that could positively impact everyone.

A scientist anywhere in the world who makes an important discovery is immediately going to be head hunted. One thing the industry severely lacks is good software developers working on meaningful problems, so a talented dev might want to consider Pfizer over Facebook.

What I think you’re going to see happen if the cost of creating new drugs doesn’t come down, you will have pharmaceuticals venture into orthogonally related businesses. For example you’ll start to see pharmaceuticals try and become medical practices or healthcare insurers or pharmacy chains to slowly transition out of the drug creation business. Everybody loses when that happens.

But here lies an interesting question, why haven’t pharmaceuticals done that from the beginning? The end result of a visit to the doctor is usually buying medicine. It makes sense for the people who create medicine to also sell it and prescribe it.

There’s always been this kind of standoff between drug creators and medicine practitioners. Pharmaceuticals versus doctors. But really they’re part of the same team. Both are necessary for a holistic approach to healthcare.

Each views the other as bad. Doctors see pharma as evil drug peddlers and pharma sees doctors as incompetently subjective. See 3 different doctors and you’ll get 3 different opinions. I know dozens of doctors who don’t even know how to check their email.

Something else people don’t realise is that behind every bad experience with a drug is actually a bad doctor prescribing it or a bad pharmacist not warning you about side effects. Most clinics and pharmacies actually still store all of their information in 1999 Microsoft Access databases. And others still use paper and filing cabinets.

It’s very surprising to people how much practicing medicine resembles just making a series of educated guesses. But guesses. A doctor doesn’t actually know what is wrong with a patient when they arrive. They in a sense deduce from a series of questions and differentials which follow Markov chains and mental pattern recognition.

And doctors are also human and very susceptible to peer pressure and medical fashion. It wasn’t until 1960 that germ theory had been developed and the medical community officially recognized that not washing their hands was actually killing people. Hundreds of thousands of people died because the medical community didn’t believe, despite huge amounts of evidence, that not washing their hands was a bad thing.

It comes from a fundamental difference in how each views patients. Doctors see patients as people but pharmaceuticals see patients as information since there is a layer of abstraction between them. The reason this goes so against the grain is because its dehumanising. It’s treating people like data points. People don’t like being treated like data.

But there is a line of thinking that says this might be the right way to do it. Because there are hard heuristics and tools. Software starts to emerge as a real healthcare tool. Which is what is happening now in its infancy.

The high cost also stops new companies from getting started. If you looked at the history of most large pharmaceuticals, you’ll notice they were all started a long time ago. Because of that you will start to see hybrids like mine emerge that start in software or pharmacy to generate revenues, venture into healthcare and only eventually into drug creation after you hit scale.

A lot of people say the world drug market is subsidized by the US industry which accounts for nearly half *of the worlds pharmaceutical market. They’re actually right but for the wrong reasons that lie in history. A lot of welfare countries have artificially low prices for medicines. This is because they are heavily subsidised not because the drug company makes less on them.

The US for the last century was the global superpower with one of the highest quality of life and they invested heavily into preserving it. There is a reason the FDA is sanctioned by the US government. But over time and lax policies this investment accidentally gave a lot of firms monopolistic scale and is a function of nearly every new drug being in an environment where you can charge anything you want for it.

But it runs a bit deeper. In fact the world’s drug creation is subsidised by only a handful of firms. You can count them, there’s about 150. This is the really scary part. The one consistency is there is always going to be more people and people will always get sick. We’re living longer lives and are always going to need medicines.

So even though healthcare spending is high, as a function of how many people develop diseases, which is everyone, it’s next to nothing. And the burden of it is on the shoulders of only 150 companies, in the world. Talk about Atlas holding up the sky.

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Khaya Does Science: Nobel Prizes https://ihglobe.com/science/khaya-science-nobel-prizes/ https://ihglobe.com/science/khaya-science-nobel-prizes/#respond Tue, 08 Oct 2013 03:51:00 +0000 https://ihglobe.com/?p=57 So. It’s that time of year. It’s the 8th of October. Yes! The Nobel Prizes for 2013 have been announced, giving us another group...

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20131011153017!Nobel_Prize

So. It’s that time of year. It’s the 8th of October.

Yes! The Nobel Prizes for 2013 have been announced, giving us another group of people who we must both curse and admire for their amazingness. The first of the prizes was Physics. Last year the tentative discovery of a theorised fundamental particle of nature, which some of you may well know is the Higgs-Boson, was finally announced after its theoretical inception by Peter Higgs and other theorists in the 1960s. This was a powerful result, as its discovery marked the experimental observation of the final fundamental particle of nature as described by the standard model of physics. I remember my physics lecturer, the valorous Lloyd Hollenberg, noting the difficulty of choosing who should get the Nobel Prize, as it should have been called the Englert-Brout-Higgs-Giralnik-Hagen-Kibble Boson – but only three people can receive the Nobel Prize. However, Englert and Higgs seemed to have contributed enough to get them over the line for a Nobel Prize, so congratulations to them!

I feel that the Nobel Prize for Physics seems to be the most glorified of all, as I often hear less of the recipients of the other fields, so here they are if you are as uninformed as me!

The Nobel Prize for Chemistry was awarded to Martin Karplus, Michael Levitt and Arieh Warshel for their work in the computer simulation of complex chemical systems. Basically, their work comprised of creating computer models for systems of large compounds in which inaccurate but simple classical physics is used to model region with little reactivity occurring, whereas the more accurate but computationally more intensive quantum physics is used in calculations to model regions where more interactions between molecules take place.

“But Khaya, what about the Literature prize?”
Well, that was awarded to the Canadian short story writer Jane Munro. No, she’s not related to our Jane Munro. Referred to as the “Master of the Contemporary Short Story”, the name is really self-explanatory about her achievements. Upon searching, one of her works that peaked my interest and I hope to check out in future is her book Too Much Happiness, a text about a Russian female mathematician trying to find her place in the world.

The Prize for Physiology and Medicine was awarded to James Rothman, Randy Schekman and Thomas Sudhof for discovering the machinery of a transport system in cells. Unfortunately, I have to plead ignorance to what exactly that means.

Finally, Eugene Fama, Lars Peter Hansen and Robert Shiller were awarded the Prize for Economic Sciences for their work in the empirical analysis on asset prices. You’d have to ask one of our lovely commerce students for elaboration on what that may mean, as I once again defer the explanation due to ignorance.

So that’s the Nobel Prize. It’s good.

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Khaya Does Science: Intro https://ihglobe.com/science/khaya-explains-science-intro/ https://ihglobe.com/science/khaya-explains-science-intro/#respond Mon, 07 Oct 2013 06:18:19 +0000 https://ihglobe.com/?p=32 This introductory article will not present a particular topic, but rather explain what motivates its writing: Science. It has long been a topic that...

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This introductory article will not present a particular topic, but rather explain what motivates its writing: Science.

It has long been a topic that induces groans of boredom from many a student. But while some cringe at the excitement deprived thought of having to calculate the velocity of a ball as it rolls down a hill elevated at an angle of “who cares”, I would politely slip in the alternative perspective that results derived from the very same field can tell us some powerful truths about nature. The explosions of chemistry, the majesty of the blue sky, natural selection’s subtle manipulation of biological traits, and the space bending black hole (which itself breaks physics under extreme conditions); ladies and gentlemen, wouldn’t it be nice, not detestable, to have some form of an understanding of these phenomena? One aspect of science that I think makes it such a neat field is its ability to show how our world works in such a compact fashion. Now, check out these eleven equations:

Screen Shot 2013-11-11 at 5.17.11 PM

Screen Shot 2013-11-11 at 5.17.11 PM 2Whether you got anything physically significant from these equations is irrelevant, but what is great about ’em is that these eleven equations (plus or minus a few more with debate) form the basis of the world, as most of us know it. These eleven equations could tell us a wide range of things in an infinitely big universe (JUST F*CKING ELEVEN), such as celestial body motion ala Newton, and refrigerators to keep your goon nice and chilled. Thank you, thermodynamics. In the end, these classical laws are not strictly correct, and we must sacrifice them for Einstein’s general and special relativity and quantum mechanics. These two modern theories are particularly mind bending, putting absolute time and space, and our certainty in where we measure things into question. While I’ve talked about physics today, because that’s what inspires me, I would hope to report on other natural sciences in this segment. Basically science is cool and I like it. Word.

If you weren’t fond of my overdramatic spiel, here’s a joke:
Hey baby can I be your integral? So I can be the space under your curve😉

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dOllie Doctor: cultural divides, panda lovin’ and milo addictions. https://ihglobe.com/science/dollie-doctor-cultural-divides-panda-lovin-milo-addictions/ https://ihglobe.com/science/dollie-doctor-cultural-divides-panda-lovin-milo-addictions/#respond Sat, 14 Sep 2013 03:37:18 +0000 https://ihglobe.com/?p=54   It has recently been brought to our attention that the greater student body of International House is in perilous and desperate need of...

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dollie doctor

It has recently been brought to our attention that the greater student body of International House is in perilous and desperate need of advisory council. International House has questions; questions that must be answered by a doctor, in fact something better than a doctor … a doctor of veterinary medicine (soon to be, possibly, maybe). And so I, of very little skill and qualifications, save the phonetic resemblance of my name to that of a popular advisory column in a woman’s magazine, have set out to immeasurably enhance the quality of your life and the depth of your understanding of this crazy, twisted, macabre, terrifying yet exhilarating experience that is college. Now have at me my people…

 

Q1: There’s this guy I like in Scheps but I live in Clunies and he says that our cultural divide is just too much to overcome. Also, he says the stairs provide too much of a physical barrier between us. What should I do? — Heart Divided

A: Get him pregnant and seal the deal.

 

Q2: Is it wrong to fantasize about Panda? He’s just so soft and dem eyes… — #yearofMYpanda?   

A: As panda and human gametes are unable to produce viable offspring, such an affection will go against your core biological drive to procreate and will sadly not result in continuation of your respective gene lines. However, if you two are happy together, then who are we to judge what is right for you and your continued happiness. Wishing you all the best for your furry future.

 

Q3: I think since moving to IH I’ve become allergic to chicken and rice. Have you heard of the illness, is it due to overexposure and is there a cure? —Catercareitis

A: I’m sorry, I’m so, so sorry… it’s terminal, you will never recover. Over time you may begin to regain some normal control over your will to eat these again, but the scarring is so deep I’m afraid you will never recuperate your previous affections and tolerance for these foodstuffs.

 

Q4: This burning question plagues me at night, especially as our beloved milo may soon disappear. Please explain the difference between milo and hot chocolate, and why can’t we live without the brown stuff. – Milo Addicted

A: In essence Milo is a hot chocolate (coco) and malt blend whereas regular hot chocolate powder lacks a number of additional ingredients, the most essential of which being a crack-cocaine-like substance that instils a state of addiction and dependency on the subject. This will obviously have severe repercussions if International House’s supply of this vital substance were ever removed, most likely resulting in hoards of addict’s angry protesting, reduced productivity and a hangover-esque state in all residents seeking their next milo.

 

Yours faithfully, dOllie Doctor

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